It came down to about a 53% to 47% “no” vote, but California billionaires dodged Proposition 40 — the November ballot measure that aimed to deliver a one-time, 5% wealth tax that advocates believe could have raised $100 billion for state healthcare.
Instead, billionaires threw roughly $395 million toward the effort to defeat Prop 40 through the Building a Better California political organization — including Google co-founder Sergey Brin, who forked over upwards of $130 million.
To be fair, though, it wasn’t just billionaires opposing the wealth tax. Opponents included some Democrats, like Governor Gavin Newsom, while a report from the state’s Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) echoed concerns that Prop 40 could lead to a billion-dollar decrease, per year, in tax revenue as the wealthiest residents exit the Golden State.
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Meanwhile, the narrow split in the vote over Prop 40 illustrates the slim runway that legislators have to get an actual wealth tax off the ground.
Yet, despite Prop 40’s defeat, lawmakers across the country, on the federal and state levels, are forging ahead with their own plans for wealth taxes targeting the 1%.
The trillion-dollar tax debate
The United States has never enacted a federal wealth tax. However, if some Democratic lawmakers get their way, that could soon change.
In March, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Ro Khanna put forward the “Make Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share Act” — a 5% annual billionaire tax which, they believe, could raise $4.4 trillion by 2036. They added that “In its first year, the bill would provide a $3,000 direct payment to every man, woman and child in a household making $150,000 or less — $12,000 for a family of four.”
The bill has been referred to the Senate’s Committee on Finance.
Similarly in March, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Rep. Pramila Jayapal and dozens of other lawmakers introduced the “Ultra-Millionaire Tax Act,” which would tax households with net worths above $50 million 2% annually, with a 3% tax for a household net worth over $1 billion.
Like the Sanders/Khanna bill, this one was referred to the Senate’s Committee on Finance, as well as to Ways and Means in the House.
It’s unclear if either bill will actually pass but, contrary to the arguments against Prop 40, a 2025 report from the non-partisan Tax Policy Center found that even just a federal 1% tax on assets above $50 million — or $25 million for the unmarried — “would raise nearly $2 trillion over a 10-year period,” with 86% of the payments coming from families in the top 1% income bracket.
And an October 2026 report about wealth taxes in Scandinavian countries showed that a 1% tax increase on the wealthy had a negligible impact on investments and employment.
The real threat, however, to a federal wealth tax is the Constitution itself. The Tax Policy Center noted that “The U.S. Constitution bans the federal government from imposing direct taxes that are not collected evenly across states based on their populations,” meaning a federal wealth tax would likely head for a Supreme Court showdown.
State wealth taxes, however, are another thing entirely — and these states are focused on trying to tax the rich with new legislation.
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Five state tax plans targeting the wealthy
Massachusetts
Massachusetts passed a millionaire’s tax in 2022, while fresh majorities in Connecticut’s House and Senate have some Democrats eyeing similar legislation there.
Hawaii
The Aloha State, which already has one of the highest tax burdens in the country, passed an annual 13% personal income tax rate hike for income above $1 million, which leaders believe could yield $53 million in extra revenue. The tax hike takes effect in 2027.
Maine
Maine passed a supplemental budget bill that adds a 2% annual income tax surcharge for those making more than $1 million — which the state says “would raise just under $96 million in state fiscal year 2027 and approximately $74 million in each year of the next biennium.” Like with Hawaii, this tax takes effect next year.
Rhode Island
Rhode Island passed a new millionaire’s tax that levies a 3% income tax surcharge on incomes over $1 million, with annual revenue expected to hit $150 million. The tax, which takes effect in 2027, will be implemented gradually, at 1% a year until it hits 3%.
Washington
Washington state voters gave the go-ahead to a 9.9% tax on income above $1 million that kicks in on Jan. 1, 2028. It’s estimated that the first year of tax collections alone could result in a $3.5-billion windfall.
Under consideration: New York and Illinois
Both New York and Illinois proposed annual billionaire mark-to-market taxes that would tax unrealized gains via the value of investments and assets above $1 billion — even if the asset or stock hasn’t been sold. For example, if a billionaire owns stock that rises in value from $2 billion to $3 billion one year, that $1 billion net gain would be counted as part of the taxpayer’s income and taxed.
In New York, taxation would be subject to a “phase-in cap amount” that is “equal to a quarter of the worth of a taxpayer’s net assets in excess of one billion dollars.”
Both bills, however, remain stuck in their respective state legislatures and it’s unclear if they have the potential to move forward or if the rich in those two states might dodge a similar bullet as California’s billionaires.
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Mike Crisolago is a Sr. Staff Reporter at Moneywise with nearly 20 years of experience working as a journalist, editor, content strategist and podcast host. He specializes in personal finance writing related to the 50-plus demographic and retirement, as well as politics and lifestyle content.
