Mar 19, 2025
COVID-19 helped bring about the lowest mortgage rates ever seen — but the era of ultra-low rates is winding down.
With the Federal Reserve preparing to raise interest rates to fight the ugliest inflation in decades, 30-year mortgage rates have hit their highest level since late March of 2020, during the early days of the pandemic, according to a popular survey.
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The jump in rates has closed the door on refinancing for many homeowners — but new research shows millions still have a chance to slash their monthly payments and lifetime interest costs by taking out a fresh loan.
Typical refinance savings: close to $300 a month
For weeks, rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have been holding steady, at or close to an average 3.55% — way up from the all-time low of 2.65% reached a little over a year ago, in the long-running survey from mortgage giant Freddie Mac.
But even with rates at their current elevated levels, an estimated 5.9 million U.S. homeowners are in a good place for refinancing and could put a big dent in their borrowing costs, the mortgage data and technology firm Black Knight tells Moneywise.
Together, today's refinance candidates could save about $1.6 billion monthly by refinancing — which works out to average savings per borrower of $275 a month.
That's not all: Black Knight says over 1 million of those homeowners could see monthly savings of at least $400 via a refinance. And, some 661,000 would save over $760 a month, on average, or at least $9,120 a year.
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How to know if you are a good refi candidate
Back when rates were super low and the potential savings were hefty, many homeowners apparently decided to procrastinate rather than refinance. A Zillow study found 78% never traded in their loans during the first full year of the pandemic, ending in April of last year.
Think it's too late to board the refi train? Black Knight says you're a good candidate if:
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- You've got a 30-year mortgage with an interest rate you could reduce by at least three quarters of 1 percentage point through a refinance — like go from 4% down to 3.25% or better. You might meet this criteria if your current mortgage is from mid-2019, when 30-year fixed mortgage rates were over 4%.
- You have a good-to-exceptional credit score of at least 720. If you haven't looked in a while, it's easy today to get a peek at your credit score for free.
- You have at least 20% equity in your home, which means you've paid in 20% or more of the home's current market value.
With mortgage rates on "pause," refinancing is hot again. Refi applications surged 18% in the most recent week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
Why homeowners should move quickly to refinance
Homeowners who can still refinance and reap the savings may not have much time to lock in a desirable rate.
Multiple forecasters expect mortgage rates will keep climbing this year as the economy improves and the Fed starts raising interest rates again, to get a grip on inflation. Officials have signaled that the first rate hike could come in March — two years after the central bank chopped rates nearly to zero.
If you've been on the fence about refinancing and are thinking about making the jump, check rates from several lenders to find the best deal available for your area and for a person with your credit profile.
You may find you're an ace at comparison shopping — which also can help you save on homeowners insurance. Once your policy comes up for renewal, get multiple rate quotes to see if another insurance company offers the same coverage you currently have, but at a lower price.
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Doug Whiteman was formerly the editor-in-chief of MoneyWise. He has been quoted by The Wall Street Journal, USA Today and CNBC.com and has been interviewed on Fox Business, CBS Radio and the syndicated TV show "First Business."
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