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Dan Ives speaks at BTC, ETH and WLD are Friends. Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

'Techmageddon' may finally be kicking off after blue tsunami casts doubts on AI's data center and funding future. Is your portfolio prepared?

In the wake of last week’s midterm elections, which ushered in a “blue tsunami” across the U.S., the nation’s previously intrepid and seemingly indomitable AI sector has taken pause.

Though the political outcome was anticipated, the Nasdaq composite — the most tech-dominated major index — fell $2.5 trillion as the historic results surged in, with investors fearing that majority Democratic leadership in both the House and Senate could stifle future AI projects.

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During his second term, President Donald Trump has been supportive of the sector, advocating for fast-moving innovation and robust investment, despite existential fears warranting a more tempered approach.

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But with the proliferation of data centers serving as a key pain point — thus a campaign issue — experts foresee potential challenges to AI-related legislation.

While Trump has teamed up with industry leaders, passing executive orders to remove barriers to and otherwise expedite tech growth, the introduction of a Democrat-led Congress was enough to spark a sudden selloff of chip and neocloud stocks.

Downturn shows sensitivity of market

Markets have leveled out since the election, but they remain in flux, partly due to earnings announcements and unrelated scandals. But the shock reminds investors how sensitive tech stocks are to outside influences, and how pro-AI government regulations are to their success.

Senior Managing Director of Yorkville Ives & Co., Dan Ives, echoed these sentiments in a note to clients.

“There is no way to sugarcoat that Democrats taking control, especially over the Senate, will create some major hurdles for AI and tech legislation in the Beltway over the next two years,” he wrote.

Americans have voiced their concerns about data centers’ energy and water usage, as well as noise and light pollution, and impacts on surrounding home values and local fauna.

Stakeholders have clapped back, highlighting the economic promise of AI while pushing back on critiques. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, for example, says California almond farming is more of a freshwater hog than chatbot queries.

But that hasn’t stopped top Democrats from taking the opposing view of Trump’s, leaning into anti-data center sentiments. Senator Bernie Sanders called for a national moratorium on new data centers, while his colleagues have called for a “pause on advanced AI development”.

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Members of Congress can pass new laws that would hamper the president’s ability to issue executive orders. They can also review existing orders, reallocate spending and legislate more legal restrictions on tech companies.

Analysts at investment bank UBS predict that nearly one-third of the data center expansion slated for 2028 could face construction delays.

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How exposed is your portfolio?

If you’re not one for risk, consider diversifying your portfolio rather than relying on tech-heavy funds.

Pivoting to stable defensive market segments such as consumer goods, healthcare, infrastructure and utilities could give you peace of mind, as could booking a meeting with your financial advisor to assess and rebalance your portfolio.

Unthinkable levels of debt and capex spending in AI with limited ROI had investors balking far before the midterms. And pundits continue to warn of a bubble and impending correction. The New York Times is calling the Dem sweep the final straw in a “techmageddon”.

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Becky Robertson Sr. Staff Reporter

Becky Robertson is a senior staff reporter at Moneywise and a lifelong writer. Along with more than a decade covering news at outlets like blogTO and Quill & Quire, she's attended writing residencies around the world. With 33 countries visited, she finds travel to be among her greatest inspirations.

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