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How Social Security reached the breaking point

With the Social Security tangle, it’s easy to point the finger at federal waste and mismanagement. But the heart of the matter can’t fit on a politician’s bumper sticker. In fact, the problems stretch back decades.

One major issue involves life expectancy. When the Social Security Act of 1935 was passed, the average expectancy in America was 59.9 years for men and 63.9 years for women, per the University of California, Berkeley. Fast forward almost 90 years and people are living longer: 73.5 and 79.3 years for men and women, respectively, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That’s more than 20% longer for both sexes, which could not have been predicted when the program was designed.

Another involves rising costs. Even after Congress overhauled the coverage, financing and benefits structure in 1983, the reserves that fund the program are expected to fall short as early as 2035. Taxpayers will continue to pay into the system, but at that point Social Security benefits may not be paid in full.

So, when Tuberville envisions a senior stampede on Washington, he may not be far off.

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The third rail of American politics

Speaking of the nation’s capital, you may wonder why lawmakers have failed to act, knowing that the Social Security clock is ticking but still has roughly a dozen years left on it. The answer is complicated.

For more than 40 years, Social Security has been called “the third rail of American politics.” That’s because any efforts to fix it threaten to cause so much wrangling and outcry among voters that it’s perceived as safer just to kick the funding can down the road.

Raising taxes could provide a quick and perhaps permanent fix. But aside from conservative lawmakers opposing this, so, too, do seniors — as the very thing that could save the program may well impact their wallets. Senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, Andrew G. Biggs, has called it “a game of chicken.”

And while the need for Congress members to roll up their sleeves might seem like an imperative, these days that’s more a sign of political fisticuffs than no-nonsense problem-solving.

Arguably, Congress has never been more divided and dysfunctional. This election year has already seen a number of bills stalled and close calls in terms of government shutting down.

No wonder Tuberville posted to X (formerly known as Twitter) on April 18: “Washington, DC is nothing but organized grabass.”

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Lou Carlozo Freelance writer

Lou Carlozo is a freelance contributor to Moneywise.

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