It really is amazing how time — and a few billion dollars — can heal all wounds.
Consider Elon Musk: in February 2026, when Anthropic posted on social media to tout its “$380B post-money valuation,” Musk replied by calling the company “evil” and added that “I don’t think there is anything you can do to escape the inevitable irony of Anthropic ending up being Misanthropic.”
Cut to three months later, in May, when SpaceX’s IPO filing revealed an agreement with Anthropic to pay the former “$1.25 billion per month through May 2029” for a boost in compute capacity via 325,000 Nvidia GPUs through SpaceX’s Colossus servers — a deal believed to be worth around $45 billion at the time.
Thanks for subscribing!
The money news that actually matters.
By signing up, you accept Moneywise Terms of Use, Subscription Agreement, and Privacy Policy.
As it turns out, the SpaceX-Anthropic deal is actually worth almost twice as much. As Reuters reported, a peek into Anthropic’s IPO prospectus revealed it could end up spending up to $84.5 billion through 2029 on compute capacity from SpaceXAI, formerly known as xAI, an artificial intelligence company founded by Musk that became a subsidiary of SpaceX [NASDAQ: SPCX] in February 2026.
Perhaps the win-win nature of the Musk-Anthropic deal simply overrode any underlying animosity. Axios, for example, speculated that, for Musk, it helped significantly boost SpaceX’s revenue ahead of its IPO filing, while at the same time giving Anthropic the compute boost it so desperately needed. Neither SpaceX nor Anthropic replied to Moneywise’s request for comment.
Meanwhile, the contract with SpaceX is only one small part of a massive, $518 billion spending spree that Anthropic is reportedly undertaking over the next decade to keep pace in the AI race.
Anthropic’s $518 billion AI wager
Reuters reported that Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows the company “is making a massive bet that AI will transform the global economy more profoundly than industrialization, electricity and the internet.”
That’s a heck of a wager — one that Anthropic is apparently willing to put $518 billion down on.
For perspective, Goldman Sachs, in August, predicted “$1 trillion of AI-related investment around the globe in 2026, including $581 billion in the U.S.” — with Anthropic now accounting for more than half of that global total and virtually all of the national total on its own.
According to Reuters, Anthropic’s spending is meant to increase its AI infrastructure and computing power, the latter of which being described as “the key constraint on AI development, as future demand for advanced AI systems is likely to exceed available supply.” It includes deals with Google ($111.1 billion), Amazon ($110 billion) and Microsoft ($31.4 billion), as well as paying Broadcom $161.2 billion for equipment leases.
The Reuters report also noted that, while the SpaceX deal has an out, 80% of the spending Anthropic committed to is “non-cancelable or requires payment regardless of usage.”
Anthropic, meanwhile, is adding all that AI muscle ahead of a potential IPO filing later this year, which could land the company a staggering $2 trillion valuation — a massive jump from its own previous $965 billion valuation.
The IPO evaluation suggests the company sees brighter days ahead, despite posting a $42 billion loss last year. Still, adding more zeroes to the end of a valuation doesn’t mean that Anthropic’s outlook is without risk.
Must Read
- Jeff Bezos backs a platform that lets anyone invest in rental homes for as little as $100 — 6 ways to build wealth like a landlord without actually being one
- The tax breaks in Trump's 'big beautiful bill' expire after 2028. Here are 4 moves to make before the window closes
Does circular spending create an AI bubble?
Anthropic itself, in the prospectus, warns about “its dependence on Amazon, Google and Microsoft,” as those companies also power its own rivals, according to Reuters.
The company reportedly added that, “If the compute we have access to from third parties is curtailed, repriced, or terminated ... our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.”
In addition, Reuters said Anthropic revealed that only two clients accounted for almost 25% of its revenue in 2025, with other major clients capable of cutting bait going forward because they aren’t bound by long-term contracts.
That arrangement could prove precarious enough, but some experts, like American economist Jim Rickards, question the wider trend of AI companies passing billions in investment around among themselves — and if it “reflects real, outside demand, or something closer to money moving in a circle.”
In February, the business school INSEAD pointed to Nvidia investing $100 billion in OpenAI as an example of how “the web of circular financing deals in AI has reached a scale and complexity that warrants serious scrutiny,” and could even lead to an AI bubble.
Research firm Capital Economics previously warned that AI is already in the midst of a “late-stage bubble,” while Harrison Rolfes, a senior research analyst with PitchBook, said in May that the key is whether “the growth can stay ahead of the cost curve.”
“The deeper structural problem is that the obligation stack isn’t just debt; it’s circular,” Rolfes added, according to Morningstar. “The same hyperscalers writing the equity checks are also the vendors collecting the compute bills.”
You May Also Like
- Dave Ramsey warns nearly 50% of Americans are making 1 big Social Security mistake — here’s what it is and 3 simple steps to fix it ASAP
- A single line on your car insurance policy could be inflating your premium by up to 30% — here's what to change
Mike Crisolago is a Sr. Staff Reporter at Moneywise with nearly 20 years of experience working as a journalist, editor, content strategist and podcast host. He specializes in personal finance writing related to the 50-plus demographic and retirement, as well as politics and lifestyle content.
