For anyone hoping to buy a home this fall, the wait for lower mortgage rates just got longer. Rates have now gone up six weeks in a row, and they just jumped again.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate climbed to 7.28% as of Oct. 1, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey. That’s up from 7.03% a week earlier and 6.34% a year ago, and it was the biggest jump in a single week in about four years. You’d have to go back to November 2023 to find rates this high.
The next morning, Fox News Channel co-host Bill Hemmer raised it with White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett on America’s Newsroom. Hemmer pointed out that rates above 7% aren’t good for the housing market, and he asked for Hassett’s response.
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Hassett replied that when the economy is growing fast, long-term interest rates can rise even without inflation. Businesses need a lot of money to build things like factories, so they borrow, and that can leave less money for people who want to take out home loans. As he put it, “People are building factories instead of maybe lending to homeowners.”
The bond market and the latest housing numbers suggest there’s more to the story.
What’s pushing mortgage rates up
The Federal Reserve doesn’t set mortgage rates directly. Mortgage rates generally move with the 10-year Treasury yield, which is the interest the U.S. government pays investors to borrow money for 10 years. Lenders use that yield as a benchmark when they price home loans. When it goes up, your mortgage rate usually goes up with it.
And many things push that yield up, including inflation, the Fed, and what bond investors think the economy will do next. This year, a lot of it traces back to oil. In late February, the average 30-year rate briefly dropped to 5.98%, the lowest it had been in three and a half years. Then the U.S. and Israel struck Iran, oil prices went up and mortgage rates rose right along with them.
Hassett’s argument is that business borrowing is adding to that pressure. Fox 9’s report on last week’s jump doesn’t mention factory borrowing. It ties the rise in rates to oil prices and the bond market.
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What the housing data says
Hassett also told Hemmer the housing market looked strong over the summer. He said supply, purchases and permits were all way up from a year earlier. He added that the White House wants rates to come down and feels the pain of first-time homebuyers.
Permits back him up a bit. Builders got permits for more new homes in August than they did a year earlier. If they kept that pace for a whole year, they’d be approved to build about 1.39 million homes, 3.5% more than last year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Home sales tell a different story. Fewer people bought homes in August — and that’s homes people already lived in, not new builds. Sales dropped 2% from July, and they were down 1.2% from a year earlier, to an annual number of 3.98 million. That’s the first time the number has dipped below 4 million since June 2025.
“Mortgage rates and home sales move in opposite directions, so it’s not surprising to see a mild dip in home buying activity due to high mortgage rates.” National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in the group’s August report.
Supply did go up. There were 1.62 million homes for sale at the end of August, 5.9% more than a year earlier. Yun says that gives buyers more leverage. But homes are also sitting longer. At August’s pace, it would take 4.9 months to sell every home on the market, the longest stretch in more than a decade, according to Yun.
What higher rates cost buyers
Compared with late February, today’s rates are estimated to add about $276 a month to a $400,000 mortgage. It’s the same house with a bigger bill every month. So a lot of borrowers are backing off. Mortgage applications fell 6% in the week ending Sept. 25.
Mortgage Bankers Association Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan said rising rates are “pushing borrowers to the sidelines.”
Still, if you need to buy now, there are a few ways to bring your monthly cost down:
Look at an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
In late September, these loans came with rates around 80 basis points lower than a regular fixed mortgage. You get the cheaper rate for the first few months or years. The catch is that after that, it moves with the market, so if rates are higher then, your payment goes up too.
Ask builders what they’re offering
In September, 66% of builders surveyed by the National Association of Home Builders offered buyers some kind of incentive, and 38% cut their prices, by about 6% on average. So if you’re looking at a new home, ask what the builder will throw in before you sign.
Get quotes from a few lenders
Comparing offers “can save you thousands of dollars,” the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) says. Once you have a few offers, ask the lenders for better prices.
As for Washington, Hassett said the White House has housing policies on the way. He didn’t say what they are or when they’re coming.
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