Buying a cabin in the mountains is supposed to be the fun part, and for a couple of years, it was.
In 2022, a client of John Kenney, a real estate agent in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, bought a pair of small cabins, and now, they’ve stopped using them. The cabins are up for sale at $400,000, and even if that full price comes in, the owners are looking at a $150,000 loss, Kenney told Business Insider. Keeping up with a cabin’s maintenance isn’t easy, he said.
Two things went wrong here, and it had nothing to do with the cabins. The first problem is what happened to cabin prices in Gatlinburg. The second is what happens when you want your money back out of one — and that’s what you should know before you buy.
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Why the cabin math stopped working
Gatlinburg was one of the towns the pandemic turned upside down. Using Zillow data, Business Insider found home values there more than doubled in two years.
Then the returns dried up.
Katelyn Warren, a Gatlinburg agent, works with people buying cabins to rent out, and she tells them to aim for 10%. For example, if they buy a cabin for, say $500,000, it should pull in $50,000 a year in bookings. She told Business Insider that most of her buyers are now looking at 7% or 8%, and that’s just too low to drag them in.
Borrowing costs the buyer more now, too. The 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 7.28% in the week ending Oct. 1, Freddie Mac reported, up from 6.34% a year ago. Whoever buys these cabins is financing them at a rate the current owners never had to pay.
Big Bear Lake, California, is going through the same thing. Gary Doss, an agent there, told Business Insider that most of his sellers this year are people who bought during 2021 and 2022, and that people are in no rush to buy because they can just wait for the price to come down.
There’s a cabin in Gatlinburg, 317 Matterhorn Drive, that went up for sale in January 2024 at $850,000. It’s still for sale. The owners have cut the price to just under $600,000, and Kenney is the second agent they’ve hired to move it.
“We’re just chasing the market at this point,” he told Business Insider.
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Real estate you can sell the same day
If you want to own real estate, you can do so without buying up risky properties like cabins, despite how charming they may seem in the moment.
You can own real estate without owning a building. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are companies that buy property and collect the rent, and you buy a piece of one the same way you’d buy a share of any company.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) describes an investment in publicly traded REITs as typically liquid — you buy and sell the shares like any listed stock. To qualify as an REIT, a company has to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders each year.
REITs own more than $4.5 trillion in commercial real estate, and 146 of them trade on the New York Stock Exchange, according to the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (NAREIT). People bought and sold $12.3 billion of REIT shares on an average day in September. Kenney’s client is still looking for a buyer.
You can still lose money, though. Equity REITs are up 11.6% this year through September 21, but mortgage REITs are down 5%, and the commercial ones are down 17%, according to NAREIT. And the money an REIT pays you gets taxed like your paycheck, rather than at the lower rate qualified dividends get.
What this means for your money
If you’ve got a cabin and you actually go there, you should enjoy it, and not try to run returns on it. It may not bring in as much money if you want to sell, but at least it’s somewhere you enjoy, and, for many, that’s worth the cost.
If you’re buying one to make money, price it at today’s 7.28%, not the rate your friend got in 2021. You may also want to add the insurance, the taxes and the upkeep that Kenney’s client got tired of.
Then consider how hard it could be to sell it off when you need your money. The owners of 317 Matterhorn have been waiting two years and dropped their price by more than $250,000, and still haven’t found a buyer. At least, you can still sell an REIT on a Tuesday. Kenney’s client has to wait.
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Godwin Oluponmile is a content specialist, SEO strategist and copywriter with seven years of expertise in finance, Web 3.0, B2B SaaS and technology. His work has been featured in publications such as Entrepreneur, HackerNoon, Blocktelegraph and Benzinga.
