For many parents, one of the first big money questions that comes up after having a baby is: does it make financial sense for one of us to stay home?
With high child care costs, it’s an idea that many parents might consider. A new analysis from CNBC Make It suggests that in 2026, getting by on a single paycheck might be harder than ever for families (1).
The report looks at how much a single working parent needs to earn in every U.S. state to support a household with a nonworking partner and one child.
The takeaway? Where you live can make or break the stay-at-home option. But even if you can make the math work, there are broader implications you should consider.
A six-figure reality in some states
One of the factors that plays into whether one parent can afford to stay home is where you live.
CNBC reported that a recent SmartAsset analysis (2), using the Massachusetts Institute of Technology living wage calculator, added up the basics (like housing, food, health care and transportation) leaving out extras like entertainment, to see how much a single-income parent would need to make to support their family.
Hawaii topped the list, where a working parent needs to earn at least $102,773 a year to support a family of three on one income. Massachusetts, California, New York, Connecticut and Washington also ranked among the most expensive, with single-income families of three needing more than $90,000.
On the other end of the spectrum is West Virginia, where one parent needs to earn about $68,000 a year for the other to stay home. While it’s lower than some Southern states, the average earnings in West Virginia lag behind the national average so that is important to remember (3).
Another big reason that families consider dropping to one income is the cost of child care. In 38 states and Washington D.C., full-time child care costs more than public college tuition, according to the Economic Policy Institute (4).
So on paper, staying home can look like a straightforward cost-saving move. If one paycheck barely covers day care, why not just cut out that expense altogether?
But eliminating child care costs doesn’t automatically make a one-income household affordable.
As CNBC reported, in Hawaii, a family where both parents work needs to earn about $115,814 a year to cover basic expenses, including child care. That’s only about $13,000 more than what’s required for a single-income household, a smaller gap than many families might expect.
Hawaii’s median household income is just more than $98,000 according to Census Bureau data (5), meaning many families fall short in either situation.
Monthly bills aren’t the only factor families need to weigh. There’s also the long-term cost to the parent who steps away from work to care for their child.
Leaving the workforce for several years can have lasting consequences, especially when it comes to future earnings and career growth, Emily Green, head of wealth management at Ellevest told CNBC.
Women are especially affected. About 84% of stay-at-home parents are women, according to Pew Research Center, making them more likely to experience career interruptions, missed raises and slower retirement savings (6).
“In households where there’s a little more financial wiggle room, women often don’t think about what they may give up in the long term — say in 5 to 10 years — by leaving their jobs now,” Green said (1).
And when the stay-at-home parent is ready to head back to work, they may find it challenging after taking a long break. Résumé gaps can limit job opportunities or lead to lower pay than before (7), a hidden cost that doesn’t show up in a monthly budget.
For some families, the decision boils down strictly to numbers.
“I have seen many women leave their jobs because their salaries don’t cover the cost of child care,” Green told CNBC. “In some households, that math means a career break is inescapable.”
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A checklist for potential stay-at-home parents
Before making the leap to a single-income household, financial experts say it helps to walk through the numbers and trade-offs carefully. Here are some questions you can consider:
What happens if the one income is disrupted?
Consider job stability, the likelihood of layoffs and whether you have an emergency fund that can cover a few months of expenses.
How will health insurance work?
Losing an employer-sponsored plan can significantly increase costs, especially if the working parent’s coverage is more expensive or offers fewer benefits.
Are you saving for retirement?
When one parent leaves the workforce, retirement contributions often shrink or stop completely. Factor in lost employer matching and long-term growth.
What is the long-term career cost?
Time away from work can affect future earnings, promotions and can impact how easy (or not) it will be to reenter the workforce, especially in fast-changing fields.
Is there a middle-ground option?
Part-time work, remote roles or flexible scheduling may be able to offer some income without the full cost of child care.
Where you live can make a big difference when you’re deciding whether or not to be a stay-at-home parent. States with higher housing and health care costs mean that earners need to have incomes above national averages to make the math work.
But it’s not just about geography. Choosing to have one parent stay home means avoiding day care expenses but should also take into account housing, health care, emergency savings and retirement — and whether or not they can all be supported by a single paycheck. There are also the long-term career implications to think about.
For many families, the decision comes down to a combination of parenting philosophies, whether the math works and being able to plan for whichever option is the best fit.
Article sources
We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.
CNBC (1); SmartAsset (2); USAFacts (3); Economic Policy Institute (4); Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (5); Pew Research Center (6); The Yale Law Journal (7)
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Jessica is a freelance writer with a professional background in economic development and small business consulting. She has a Bachelor of Arts in Communications and Sociology and is completing her Publishing Certificate.
