‘Huge tailwind’ for investors
Remember, Buffett made that comment in 2018. And the S&P 500 has continued to climb since the interview, meaning the $400,000 would have kept growing.
In his letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders published in February 2019, Buffett provided an update to the calculation, writing, “If my $114.75 had been invested in a no-fee S&P 500 index fund, and all dividends had been reinvested, my stake would have grown to be worth (pre-taxes) $606,811 on January 31, 2019 (the latest data available before the printing of this letter). That is a gain of 5,288 for 1.”
And that’s not the end of the story, as the S&P 500 continued its upward trajectory, despite experiencing ups and downs along the way.
In just the last five years, the benchmark index has surged by about 90%.
Buffett told Yahoo Finance that the scenario of turning $114 to $400,000 doesn’t require his personal skill.
“That isn't me. It is the huge tailwind the American economy gives to any equity investor,” he remarked.
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Learn MoreThrough thick and thin
While simply riding with the S&P 500 Index would have yielded massive returns, it's important to remember that the market journey wasn't always smooth sailing.
Buffett pointed out that there were many bumps along the way.
“Now, the market’s gone down many times during that time, people have panicked during that time, headlines have been terrible,” he said. “But America is a powerful economic machine that, since 1776, it’s worked and it’s going to keep working.”
In other words, investors need to be patient to benefit from the tailwind generated by the American economic machine.
Buffett emphasized the importance of adopting a long-term investment horizon.
“Now, you don’t want to buy to hold for a year, you don’t want to buy with the idea that you could sell it in two years or three years necessarily and make money. You could lose money that way,” he explained.
“But if you buy it for $10, $20, just keep buying the S&P 500 index and forget about all the other nonsense that’s being sold to you because I’ll guarantee you one thing about the stuff being sold to you, it will carry bigger fees than what I’m talking about.”
Indeed, tracking the benchmark index can be done at minimal cost these days. For instance, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), which follows the S&P 500, has a low expense ratio of 0.03%. Similarly, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) tracks the same index and carries an expense ratio of 0.0945%.
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