May 11, 2026
Michael Burry, the investor who accurately called the U.S. housing crash in 2008, is not feeling good about the state of the stock market these days.
The investor, best known as the inspiration for the 2015 film The Big Short, which looked at his prediction of the subprime mortgage crisis, said he believed the market's long-running rally is about to end and a significant decline could be on the way.
Advertisement
In a post on Substack, Burry said he was having a major feeling of deja vu when it came to the market.
Thanks for subscribing!
Read the best of Moneywise in 5 minutes or less.
By signing up, you accept Moneywise Terms of Use, Subscription Agreement, and Privacy Policy.
"With what is happening in the market the last week, that I had lived this before suddenly dawned on me," he wrote (1). "The NASDAQ 100, complete reversal. … I am calling something. The market has jumped the shark."
Part of the reason for his bearishness is the resemblance, he says, between today's market and the final parts of the dot-com bubble. Investors, he said, are ignoring economic data and global events and focusing myopically on just one thing instead: AI, in this case.
"Absolutely non-stop AI. Nobody is talking about anything else all day," Burry wrote after listening to financial radio coverage on a long drive (2).
"Stocks are not up or down because of jobs or consumer sentiment. They are going straight up because they have been going straight up. On a two letter thesis that everyone thinks they understand. ... Feeling like the last months of the 1999-2000 bubble."
The boy who cried wolf
Burry conceded in his post that he has incorrectly forecasted market crashes in the past. He compared Bitcoin to the housing market in March of 2021 (3). Three months later, he warned of a massive bubble and looming market crash that he said would be the worst in history (4).
Neither of those crashes happened and Burry took ownership of that in his post (5), but also pointed to his track record.
"I am now a meme for the number of times I have called a crash," he wrote. "I have become the boy who cried wolf. History is written not by the victors, but by those that control the pen, and social media has that pen right now, it seems.
"Still, I got it right in 2000, got it right in 2007. Got it right in 2019, helped by COVID, and I called the meme stock crash in mid 2021. I called the bank stock run in 2023."
Advertisement
Must Read
- The ultra-rich use these 5 real estate strategies to build wealth while they sleep — you can start with just $100
- Here’s the average income of Americans by age in 2026. Are you keeping up or falling behind?
- Insurance companies profit most from drivers who auto-renew without shopping around. Comparing 100+ quotes takes 2 minutes and costs nothing
Join 250,000+ readers and get Moneywise’s best stories and exclusive interviews first — clear insights curated and delivered weekly. Subscribe now.
Not alone
Burry isn't the only stock market veteran who is warning of a forthcoming correction.
On May 8, Paul Tudor Jones told CNBC that he felt the current environment on Wall Street felt a lot like 1999, the last strong year before the dot com crash (2). While Jones said he expects the current rally to last another year or two, he worries about how high valuations might rise in that time.
"Just imagine the stock market went up another 40%," Jones said. "The stock market GDP is going to probably be good lord 300%, 350%. You just know that there'll be some ... breathtaking kind of corrections."
Article Sources
We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our ethics and guidelines.
Business Insider (1),(3); CNBC (2); Fortune (4); Substack (5).
You May Also Like
- JP Morgan sees gold hitting $6,000/oz before 2027 — and a Gold IRA lets you hold the physical metal while deferring the tax bill. Get your free guide from Priority Gold
- Dave Ramsey warns nearly 50% of Americans are making 1 big Social Security mistake — here’s what it is and the simple steps to fix it ASAP
- Thanks to Jeff Bezos, you can now become a landlord for as little as $100 — and no, you don't have to deal with tenants or fix freezers. Here's how
- Millionaires under 43 are reshaping investing — just 25% of their portfolios are in stocks. Here’s where their money is going
Chris Morris is a veteran journalist with more than 35 years of experience at many of the internet's biggest news outlets. In addition to his activities as a writer, reporter and editor, Chris is also a frequent panel moderator and speaker at major conferences, including CES and South by Southwest.
