When it comes to retirement planning, you may feel like you’re juggling more rules of thumb than fingers on both your hands.
From when the ideal time to retire or start taking Social Security is to how much money you need saved, all the hypotheticals and unknowns can start to get out of hand.
Here’s what we do know: Most Americans think 62 is the ideal age to retire, according to Pew Research data. But the reality is nearly half of U.S. workers end up retiring before they were planning to — and often for reasons outside of their control.
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Almost 60% of workers told Allianz they worry they won’t be able to retire on their terms. And the most common factor holding them back was not having enough money saved.
Whether you’re dreaming of freedom 55 or preparing for the likelihood of clocking out sooner than you’d expected, here’s how to focus on finding a realistic number for your savings goal.
Rethinking your retirement
The typical American adult has a life expectancy for 79 years — the highest it’s ever been. That means if you retire at 62, you’re looking at a 17-year retirement.
Most conventional financial planning is based on this length of retirement. These plans also assume that you can rely on Social Security benefits because 62 happens to be the earliest age many Americans become eligible for these benefits.
But if you retire early, let’s say at age 55, and live to 83 — now you’ve got 28 years of retirement your savings need to cover. If you retire a few years earlier or live for a few years longer than that, you could be looking at a 35-year plan. And the longer you live, the more expensive your last years are likely to be.
It doesn’t matter how well you planned at one point. An additional three to 10 years could completely blow up any retirement plan. Major changes like that will mean you either need a bigger nest egg or a more conservative approach to withdrawals.
Don’t forget that you’re on the hook financially for plugging the gap between when you retire and when you qualify for Social Security and Medicare. And that’s also only getting more expensive these days.
With all this in mind, savvy investors may want to ensure their retirement savings is large and robust enough to withstand 40 years of inflation, market volatility and also bridge their financial needs until government programs become available to them.
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How to build a 401(k) bridge to early retirement
Simply put, if you’re retiring early you need to be more disciplined and conservative in your financial planning. Your nest egg needs to be larger and your withdrawal rate needs to be lower.
Let’s take the example of Mia, a middle-aged professional. She’s on track to receive $25,000 a year in Social Security benefits at the age of 62 but estimates that her annual retirement costs could be $75,000 altogether.
If she retires at 62, her calculations suggest she needs a nest egg worth $1.25 million from which she can safely withdraw 4% to plug the $50,000 gap in her spending needs.
However, Mia hates her job and wants to retire early to focus on her hobby of home brewing beer. If she retires at 52, she needs a larger nest egg to deliver $75,000 a year until she’s eligible for Social Security benefits.
Mia is also keenly aware of the inflation and market volatility risk she faces by adding 10 extra years to her retirement, so decides to lower her withdrawal rate to 3.5%, with annual adjustments for inflation.
Based on these assumptions, Mia would need $2.14 million to retire comfortably at 52. That’s 71.2% bigger than the nest egg she needs at a typical retirement age.
Working with a professional financial advisor could help Mia further customize this plan. Perhaps a sophisticated strategy like Roth conversion laddering or a simple cut to her annual budget could allow her to retire early with a smaller 401(k). She could also lean on part-time or gig work to bridge her income until Social Security kicks in. Either way, she’ll want to figure it out before she pulls the trigger on retiring.
The bottom line is: If you want to retire early, you’ll need a bigger nest egg and a tighter budget. Savvy investors understand this — and plan accordingly.
— with files from Sigrid Forberg
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Vishesh Raisinghani is a financial journalist covering personal finance, investing and the global economy. He's also the founder of Sharpe Ascension Inc., a content marketing agency focused on investment firms. His work has appeared in Moneywise, Yahoo Finance!, Motley Fool, Seeking Alpha, Mergers & Acquisitions Magazine and Piggybank.
