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Mike Rowe. Getty Images

Mike Rowe says US is in a ‘modern-day Manhattan project’ after we cut shop class, now there’s 7.6M blue collar openings. Time to ditch your desk job?

With billions of dollars pouring in to fuel America’s contributions to the ongoing Artificial Intelligence race, Mike Rowe believes we are living through what he calls a “modern-day Manhattan Project.”

However, America’s AI efforts face their own set of hurdles, including a lack of skilled tradespeople to build the energy and data center infrastructure needed to power AI.

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“When we took shop class out of high school, we sent a pretty clear message to the workforce," Rowe, the host of Dirty Jobs, told Fox News. "We put our thumb on the scale, we made a real judgement call. Consequently, we have 7.6 million open jobs right now in those [skilled labor] fields.”

And Rowe isn’t the only one ringing this alarm bell. Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton — often called the “Godfather of AI” — also recommended blue collar skills as a way to prepare for the age of automation.

“I’d say it’s going to be a long time before [AI] is as good at physical manipulation as us,  and so a good bet would be to be a plumber,” Hinton said on The Diary of a CEO podcast.

As more experts urge Americans to rethink their career paths, could now be the moment to consider rolling up your sleeves and going to trade school? Here’s what you need to know.

The pros

Perhaps the best reason to consider a career in the trades is the projected shortage of skilled labor workers in the near future.

Nearly 1.9 million manufacturing jobs could go unfilled over the next decade, according to a study from the Manufacturing Institute and Deloitte. Meanwhile, America could be short about 550,000 plumbers by 2027, according to The Hill.

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Put simply, there’s growing demand for blue collar workers while white collar staffers face dwindling demand and potential layoffs.

As a consequence, skilled trade workers have more bargaining power to achieve better wages. Between 2020 and 2024, average wages across the skilled trades sectors grew 20%, according to McKinsey & Company.

Experienced electricians, elevator installers, construction managers and HVAC technicians can earn $100,000 or more per year, according to the Philadelphia Technician Training Institute. And the fact that these trades do not require an advanced college degree also reduces the burden on young people willing to acquire these skills.

Trade schools are relatively inexpensive, and organizations such as Rowe’s mikeroweWORKS Foundation have helped thousands of young professionals achieve six-figure salaries without taking on massive student debt.

However, before you ditch your cubicle for a construction site, it’s worth considering some of the drawbacks of this bold career move.

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The Cons

Being a blue collar worker could be lucrative, but only after you've gained sufficient skills and experience.

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For instance, the average apprenticeship for construction workers could be slightly longer than four years, according to the American Apprenticeship Initiative. Making matters worse, your earnings are likely to start relatively low during your apprenticeship, which means it could be several years before you crack the six-figure threshold.

Another disadvantage with blue collar work is that it is highly physical and may be better suited for younger workers. Mining, construction and agricultural workers have relatively high rates of workplace injuries, according to the AFL-CIO. These risks are higher for older workers, which could push tradespeople to consider earlier retirement than their white collar peers.

Finally, the current lack of automation in the trades might be temporary. Several tech giants and startups are working on humanoid robots and there are already prototypes of autonomous machines for construction, as well as shipbuilding and welding.

Amazon already has roughly a million robots in its warehouses and the company’s workforce could be more robotic than human in the near future, according to the Wall Street Journal.

The bottom line

There are plenty of advantages and disadvantages to switching your career to the trades. If you’re young and enthusiastic about gaining hands-on experience, this could be the right move.

But if you’ve already built soft skills over several years and don’t find physical labor enjoyable, this might not be the best move for you.

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Vishesh Raisinghani Freelance Writer

Vishesh Raisinghani is a financial journalist covering personal finance, investing and the global economy. He's also the founder of Sharpe Ascension Inc., a content marketing agency focused on investment firms. His work has appeared in Moneywise, Yahoo Finance!, Motley Fool, Seeking Alpha, Mergers & Acquisitions Magazine and Piggybank.

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