Peter Schiff is sounding the alarm on a financial crisis, and this time he says the warning signs are already showing up in the data.
“We are headed for a full-blown financial crisis,” the longtime market commentator and renowned economist wrote in a recent post on X (1).
He pointed to a sharp rise in February trade prices, with import prices climbing 1.3%, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, according to government data (2).
Citing U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data from February (3), he noted export prices also rose 1.5% over the same period.
Annualized, Schiff says that translates to inflation running between 16.8% and 19.6% (1). Those levels are well above what most economists currently project for March, which is only around 3% (4).
That’s before factoring in other pain points, such as oil prices, which he says have already surged by around 50%.
Taken together, Schiff argued, “Unless the Fed raises rates several hundred basis points now, inflation will skyrocket.”
What Schiff’s warning means
At the core of Schiff’s argument is the idea of what is called “pipeline pressures” (or pipeline inflation) among economists (5).
According to this idea, import and export prices reflect the cost of goods before they reach consumers. When those prices rise, it means higher costs work their way through the global supply chain and eventually show up in everyday prices.
Essentially, costs move upstream, as though through a pipeline.
Energy costs play a major role in this. A spike in oil prices can ripple through the economy, increasing transportation costs, raising production expenses and pushing up prices across multiple sectors at once.
Schiff’s calculation takes those monthly increases and projects them forward over a full year — called ‘annualizing.’ Based on that approach, he argues inflation could be running at rates like 16.8% and 19.6%.
However, that kind of extrapolation can sometimes overstate the trend, especially if based on a single month of data. Inflation doesn’t always move linearly, and short-term spikes don’t always translate into sustained long-term increases.
Still, Schiff’s broader point is harder to dismiss: If cost pressure continues building, inflation definitely could reaccelerate just as markets and policymakers expect it to slow down.
Whether or not that scenario plays out exactly as he describes, the underlying concern highlights a real risk for investors. Sudden inflation shocks can quickly erode wealth, particularly for portfolios that aren’t designed to handle them.
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Why inflation can devastate your portfolio
If inflation does ramp up again, the impact on investors will be immediate and potentially severe.
Stocks can struggle in high-inflation environments, especially if rising prices force the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates more aggressively. This means higher borrowing costs for companies and can compress valuations, particularly for growth-focused sectors (6).
And bonds, which are often seen as a safer alternative, face their own challenges. When interest rates rise, bond prices fall — meaning investors holding bonds can see the value of their portfolios decline (7).
Even cash isn’t immune. While it may feel safe, inflation steadily erodes purchasing power over time.
For example, if inflation were to run at 15% over a year, $10,000 in savings would effectively lose $1,500 in real value. It would buy significantly less than it did just 12 months earlier.
That’s why environments like this can be especially challenging for traditional portfolios, which are usually a 60-40 mix of stocks and bonds.
Assets investors turn to when inflation is high
During periods of rising inflation, investors seek ways to preserve their purchasing power.
Schiff, for his part, has long been a vocal advocate for gold.
While gold doesn’t generate income, it has historically been used as a hedge during periods of economic uncertainty and rising prices.
One way investors explore this approach is through companies like Priority Gold, which specializes in physical ownership of gold and silver.
Priority Gold is an industry leader in precious metals, offering physical delivery of gold and silver. Plus, they have an A+ rating from the Better Business Bureau and a 5-star rating from Trust Link.
If you’d like to convert an existing IRA into a gold IRA, Priority Gold also offers 100% free rollover, as well as free shipping and free storage for up to five years. Qualifying purchases can also receive up to $10,000 in free silver.
To learn more about how Priority Gold can help you reduce inflation’s impact on your nest egg, download their free 2026 gold investor bundle.
Gold isn’t the only place investors go to
While gold often takes center stage in inflation debates, it’s far from the only asset investors consider when markets become unpredictable.
In fact, some look beyond traditional financial markets altogether.
Assets like fine art, for example, have historically shown “near-zero” correlation to stocks, meaning their value doesn’t always move in lockstep with broader market swings (8). For investors concerned about volatility or overvalued equities, that kind of diversification can be appealing.
In 1999, the S&P 500 peaked, and it took 14 years to fully recover.
Today? Goldman Sachs is forecasting just 3% annual returns from 2024 to 2034. It sounds bleak but not surprising: The S&P is trading at its highest price-to-earnings ratio since the dot-com boom. Vanguard isn’t far off, projecting around 5%.
In fact, nearly everything feels priced near all-time highs — equities, gold, crypto, you name it.
That’s why billionaires have long carved out a slice of their portfolios in an asset class with low correlation to the market and strong rebound potential: post-war and contemporary art.
It may sound surprising, but more than 70,000 investors have followed suit since 2019 — through Masterworks. Now you can own fractional shares of works by Banksy, Basquiat, Picasso and more.
Masterworks has sold 27 artworks so far, yielding net annualized returns like 14.6%, 17.6% and 17.8%.*
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*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Investing involves risk. See important Regulation A disclosures at Masterworks.com/cd
Read More: Dave Ramsey says this 7-step plan ‘works every single time’ to kill debt, get rich in America — and that ‘anyone’ can do it
Income-producing assets can offer another layer of protection
While some assets are designed to preserve value, others aim to generate income. This can help keep the investing ball rolling when inflation puts pressure on budgets.
Real estate has long been one of the most common examples. Rental income tends to rise over time, particularly in tight housing markets, allowing property owners to adjust to inflation in ways that fixed-income assets often can’t.
But direct ownership isn’t always practical. Managing properties, dealing with tenants and covering maintenance costs can be time-consuming and expensive.
That’s where mogul comes in. This real estate investment platform offers fractional ownership in blue-chip rental properties, which gives investors monthly rental income, real-time appreciation and tax benefits — without the need for a hefty down payment or late-night tenant calls.
Founded by former Goldman Sachs real estate investors, the mogul team handpicks the top 1% of single-family rental homes nationwide for you. Simply put, you can invest in institutional-quality offerings at a fraction of the usual cost.
Each property undergoes a vetting process that requires a minimum 12% return even in downside scenarios. Across the board, the platform features an average annual IRR of 18.8% — their cash-on-cash yields, meanwhile, average between 10% to 12% annually. Offerings often sell out in under three hours, with investments typically ranging between $15,000 and $40,000 per property.
Real assets secure every investment, not dependent on the platform’s viability. Each property is held in a standalone Propco LLC, so investors own the property — not the platform. Blockchain-based fractionalization adds a layer of safety, ensuring a permanent, verifiable record of each stake.
Getting started is quick and easy. You can sign up for an account and then browse available properties. Once you verify your information with their team, you can invest like a mogul in just a few clicks.
Don’t overlook liquidity
In periods of economic uncertainty, inflation isn’t the only risk investors need to think about. Financial shocks, regardless of their cause, can make access to cash just as important as long-term returns.
That’s where liquidity comes in.
Having funds readily available can provide flexibility when conditions change, whether to cover unexpected expenses or to take advantage of new opportunities as they arise.
A high-yield account like a Wealthfront Cash Account can be a great place to grow your uninvested cash, offering both competitive interest rates and easy access to your money when you need it.
A Wealthfront Cash Account currently offers a base APY of 3.30% through program banks, and new clients can get an extra 0.75% boost during their first three months on up to $150,000 for a total variable APY of 4.05%.
That’s ten times the national deposit savings rate, according to the FDIC’s March report.
Additionally, Wealthfront is offering new clients who enable direct deposit ($1,000/month minimum) to their Cash Account and open and fund a new investment account an additional 0.25% APY increase with no expiration date or balance limit, meaning your APY could be as high as 4.30%.
With no minimum balances or account fees, as well as 24/7 withdrawals and free domestic wire transfers, your funds remain accessible at all times. Plus, you get access to up to $8M FDIC Insurance eligibility through program banks.
Article sources
We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.
@PeterSchiff (1); Reuters (2); U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (3); Trading Economics (4); European Central Bank (5); Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science (6); SHS Web of Conferences (7); International Review of Financial Analysis (8)
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Thomas Kent is a Senior Staff Writer at Moneywise, covering personal finance, investing, and economic trends. He previously reported on business and public policy in Ontario and has written extensively about insurance, taxes, and wealth-building strategies.
