When you're making plans for retirement, you'll probably hear that you should replace 80% of the income you were earning. However, this rule of thumb is far from universal.
In fact, David Blanchett, managing director, portfolio manager and head of retirement research for PGIM DC Solutions, found that some retirees need to replace far more of their preretirement funds than others.
Replacement rates can be anywhere from 54% to 87%, Blanchett found. That's a huge range.
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If you were earning $100,000, for example, you may need somewhere between $54,000 and $87,000, which — if you follow the 4% rule for a safe withdrawal rate — could mean your account balance must have between $1.35 million and $2.175 million.
The good news is that if you're pretty close to retirement, you should be able to make a good guess about your own replacement rate so you'll know where in this range you're likely to fall.
Figure out what expenses are disappearing
The first thing to do when determining how much income to replace is to consider the expenses that may disappear once you become a retiree. For example:
- You no longer have to save for retirement. If you were investing 10% or 15% of your income, this expense goes away.
- As many as 40% to 50% of retirees have paid off their mortgage. While you still have property taxes and insurance, your housing costs drop if you're one of them.
- You no longer have transportation costs to and from work. The average annual cost of commuting is nearly $5,750 or around 10% of median national income.
Eliminating these expenses alone can save you a fortune. If you were devoting, say, 15% of your income to a mortgage payment, 15% to retirement savings and 10% to commuting, you've already eliminated 40% of your preretirement spending.
You can run through these numbers yourself, considering how your lifestyle will change to understand what your new budget may look like.
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Don't forget to account for added expenses
While you'll potentially be cutting a lot of expenses, you may also be taking on some additional spending — and you need to account for this when you're figuring out your income replacement rate.
Retirees may add some optional expenses, like travel. But you should also plan for an increase in essential expenses, like health care costs.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports average health care spending of $7,492 a year for those aged 65 to 74, and $8,145 a year for those over 75. Compare what your future care costs may be relative to what you were spending now to ensure you're ready to pay for potential medical bills.
You should also think about how else your life will change in ways that may cost you more. Will you spend more on hobbies? Or, do you want to spoil your grandkids? All this should be taken into account as it could change your budget.
Ultimately, it's best to err on the side of saving more than you think you'll need. Still, don't take 80% as the default rule. Do the math — or work with a financial professional — to get an estimate of your spending needs — and make the best, most informed decision about when you have enough money to retire.
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Christy Bieber has 15 years of experience as a personal finance and legal writer. She has written for many publications including Forbes, Kilplinger, CNN, WSJ, Credit Karma, Insurify and more.
