It’s only logical to think that flying a shorter distance within the U.S. will cost less than an overseas flight.
Well, recent findings from the flight search website Skiplagged beg to differ.
As The New York Times reports, many of the hottest domestic routes this summer surged by 35%, while international flights went up only 15% in comparison to last year. In fact, the last time summer domestic flights were this elevated was at the height of post-lockdown “revenge travel” period in 2022.
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International flights may burn far more fuel, but they also carry more passengers on larger aircraft and airlines can spread those costs across hundreds of seats. Airlines also don’t set fares just based on fuel costs; they price tickets based on what people are willing to pay.
For example, despite seven fare increases this year starting in February, Southwest Airlines CEO Bob Jordan told The New York Times there’s still “no drop-off in demand” from travelers. Plus, the doomsday fears of fuel shortages some analysts expressed at the beginning of the Iran War haven’t materialized.
“I think the outcome was not as bad as many predicted,” Christopher Anderson, professor of services management at Cornell University, told Fortune.
The combination of high demand and lower relative capacity in the domestic market helps explain the “elevated prices” in Anderson’s view. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that total demand increased 3.8% between January 2025 and 2026, while capacity for international flights rose nearly 6% versus a drop of 0.4% for domestic flights in the same timeframe.
Pricing power in “premiumization”
Keep in mind, airlines aren’t just making money by selling seats. Increasingly, they rake in revenue from features revolving around those seats (think priority boarding and checked bags).
One of the most profitable strategies in recent years has been to make the flying experience extra plush. Melius Research analyst Conor Cunningham told The New York Times that his firm has seen prices for premium seats climb faster than those for economy class as customers show a willingness to pay up.
In response, airlines are continuing their “premiumization push” by catering to high-class clientele. For instance, Travel Weekly reported that American Airlines increased its premium economy, business, and first-class seating by 16% versus 5% for economy seats between 2019 and 2025. United went even further with a 40% jump in business and premium economy seats over the same period.
With one less threat of the ultra-budget airline Spirit Airlines now out of the picture, it seems domestic carriers are even less inclined to reduce their prices to court economy passengers.
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How the K-shaped economy impacts airfare
Analysts like Anderson suggest that the increase in fares is more a signal of growing wealth inequality than just an airline-centric strategy.
“Here in the U.S., we have a very bifurcated economy. And a lot of this turmoil that we’re seeing is the effects more on one segment of that economy than the other,” he told Fortune.
Recent survey data from Deloitte seems to back up this theory. According to Deloitte’s findings, about 45% of Americans plan to take a summer vacation with paid lodging. That’s the lowest figure Deloitte has recorded in six years.
For respondents with an annual income below $100K, 51% said travel is at the top of their list of costs to cut due to higher daily expenses. By contrast, that figure drops to one in three (or 33%) among Americans who earn between $100K and $199,999, and one in four for those earning $200,000 or more.
One of the conclusions from Deloitte’s is that higher earners will increasingly make up the bulk of America’s travel clientele. Researchers noted that those earning over $100K already account for 55% of today’s traveling public.
Regardless of average annual income, however, Deloitte data showed an increase in the number of people who want to raise their marquee trip budgets rather than lower them. This includes low-income travelers. So, K-shaped economy or not, trends suggest travel will keep getting pricier as long as more customers insist on premier experiences.
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Eric Esposito is a freelance contributor on MoneyWise who loves making financial topics accessible and understandable to readers. In addition to MoneyWise, Eric’s work can be found in publications such as WallStreetZen and CoinDesk.
