• Discounts and special offers
  • Subscriber-only articles and interviews
  • Breaking news and trending topics

Already a subscriber?

By signing up, you accept Moneywise's Terms of Use, Subscription Agreement, and Privacy Policy.

Not interested ?

Real Estate News
A collage image of Meredith Whitney smiling slyly on the left and an aerial view of an affluent suburb during early fall on the right. Michael Loccisan, and The Washington Post / Getty Images

Trouble ahead for US housing, warns 'Oracle of Wall Street' who predicted 2008 crash, with boomers in the crosshairs. Here’s how some can still profit

While we adhere to strict editorial guidelines, partners on this page may provide us earnings.

Meredith Whitney earned her “Oracle of Wall Street” nickname by predicting the 2008 financial crisis before it hit. Now, nearly two decades later, she sees fresh trouble brewing — this time, in the U.S. housing market.

“The housing market is gummed up with existing home sales on track in 2025 to be their slowest in more than 25 years,” Whitney wrote in a piece for the Financial Times (1). “The next few years may not be much better.”

Advertisement

The problem is tied to demographic shifts. Whitney reports that over 54% of homes in the U.S. are owned by seniors — 10% more than in 2008. Most of them own their homes outright, meaning they’re mortgage-free. According to property brokerage platform Redfin, 78% of seniors want to remain in their current home rather than downsize (2).

In an interview with Marketwatch earlier this year, Whitney said, “Either these folks have no mortgage, or a small mortgage, and the capital gains that they have to take and the costs that are required to move are prohibitive (3).”

Here’s how this is affecting boomers and America’s housing supply.

The boomer tax bite

Whitney added that the potential tax bite from selling your home means baby boomers may not be as wealthy as they think.

After selling your primary residence, the IRS allows you to deduct up to $250,000 from the home’s selling price (or $500,000 for joint filers) to reduce your capital gains liability (4). Given that this threshold was set in 1997, it’s not nearly as helpful now as it was when home prices were far lower.

Whitney is not the only one raising red flags.

Last September, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said that the housing market is “in part frozen” with many homeowners reluctant to sell because they’re locked in at lower mortgage rates (5). These rates date back to the pandemic, which were between 0% and 0.25% according to Brookings (6).

Advertisement

The result? Persistently high prices combined with elevated interest rates, which can render homeownership harder than ever to achieve.

According to Realtor.com, the typical U.S. household earned roughly 46% less than what’s recommended to afford a $439,950 home, which was the median list price for an American home as of July (7). In December, the median price of a home had dropped to $415,000, meaning that prices had improved — but not by much (8).

Must Read

Join 250,000+ readers and get Moneywise’s best stories and exclusive interviews first — clear insights curated and delivered weekly. Subscribe now.

Getting on the real estate ladder — starting with $100

Rising home prices aren’t just about the lack of boomers willing to sell. They also reflect the steady march of inflation over time.

When inflation goes up, property values often climb too, reflecting the higher costs of materials, labor and land. Meanwhile, rental income tends to rise, providing landlords with a revenue stream that adjusts with inflation.

As a result, real estate is often seen as an inflation-proof investment. It’s long been considered a go-to for those looking to hedge their portfolios against rising costs and stock market turmoil.

But, as Whitney and Powell have pointed out, the market is somewhat frozen and inaccessible.

Advertisement

While purchasing an entire home may feel out of reach due to factors from stubbornly high prices to elevated mortgage rates, there are other, easier ways to invest in real estate.

Earn rental income with Arrived

You can tap into this market by investing in shares of vacation homes or rental properties through Arrived.

Backed by world-class investors, including Jeff Bezos, Arrived allows you to invest in shares of vacation and rental properties, earning a passive income stream without any of the extra work required to be a landlord of your own rental property.

To get started, simply browse through their pre-vetted properties, each selected for their projected property value appreciation and income-generating potential. Once you choose a property, you can start investing with as little as $100, potentially earning monthly dividends and benefiting from any appreciation to the property’s value. Actual return rates for properties may vary, but total historical returns for Arrived’s individual properties range between 6 to 10% annually.

Invest in commercial real estate with FNRP

Another way to invest in real estate is through First National Realty Partners (FNRP), which allows accredited investors to diversify their portfolio with grocery-anchored commercial properties. Like Arrived, FNRP can help you avoid the responsibilities and headaches of being a landlord, but on a commercial scale.

With a minimum investment of $50,000, investors can own a share of properties leased by national brands like Whole Foods, Kroger and Walmart, which provide essential goods to their communities.

Thanks to triple net leases, accredited investors can invest in these properties without worrying about tenant costs cutting into their potential returns. Simply answer a few questions — including how much you would like to invest — to start browsing their full list of available properties.

A golden hedge for ‘bad times’

If you’re looking to hedge your investments against inflation, there are other assets beyond real estate worth considering. For instance, gold has historically been deemed a robust store of value — and its price has reached new all-time highs throughout 2025.

Unlike fiat currencies, the yellow metal can’t be printed at will by central banks. It’s also not tied to the fortunes of any single country or economy, making it a go-to safe haven asset when economic or geopolitical volatility hits.

Advertisement

Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, has repeatedly highlighted gold’s importance in a resilient portfolio.

“Gold is the most sound fundamental investment," Dalio wrote on X in October (8). He added, “gold is a uniquely good diversifier” and “it has a place in most portfolios.”

If you want to add gold to your portfolio, one way to do so is by building up your retirement fund with a gold IRA.

Open a gold IRA with Goldco

Goldco allows you to invest in gold and other precious metals in physical forms, while leveraging the significant tax advantages of investing in an IRA.

With a minimum purchase of $10,000, Goldco offers free shipping on all orders and access to a library of retirement resources. Plus, the company will match up to 10% of qualified purchases in free silver.

If you’re curious whether this is the right investment to diversify your portfolio, you can download your free gold and silver information guide today.

Article sources

We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.

Financial Times (1); Redfin (2); MarketWatch (3); IRS (4); Federal Reserve (5); Brookings (6); Realtor.com (7), (8); @RayDalio (9)

You May Also Like

Share this:
Jing Pan Investment Reporter

Jing is an investment reporter for MoneyWise. He is an avid advocate of investing for passive income. Despite the ups and downs he’s been through with the markets, Jing believes that you can generate a steadily increasing income stream by investing in high quality companies.

more from Jing Pan

Explore the latest

Disclaimer

The content provided on Moneywise is information to help users become financially literate. It is neither investment, tax nor legal advice, is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities, enter into any loan, mortgage or insurance agreements or to adopt any investment strategy. Tax, investment and all other decisions should be made, as appropriate, only with guidance from a qualified professional. We make no representation or warranty of any kind, either express or implied, with respect to the data provided, the timeliness thereof, the results to be obtained by the use thereof or any other matter. Advertisers are not responsible for the content of this site, including any editorials or reviews that may appear on this site. For complete and current information on any advertiser product, please visit their website.

†Terms and Conditions apply.