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Real Estate News
A sign hangs outside a foreclosed home July 29, 2008 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Getty Images

Home prices in America just turned negative for first time in 2 years. And it’s stirring fresh fears of 2008-style crash. Shockproof your wealth now

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U.S. home prices have trended higher for decades — but that doesn’t mean the market is immune to setbacks.

According to new data from Parcl Labs, U.S. home prices have now slipped below year-ago levels (1). The last time prices turned negative was in mid-2023, following the Federal Reserve’s rapid rate hikes in 2022.

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Notably, home prices are down 1.4% over the past three months alone.

Parcl Labs points to several forces pushing prices into negative territory: inflated baseline prices after the pandemic-era run-up from 2020 to 2022 and higher mortgage rates and affordability that has become increasingly difficult for buyers to absorb, softening demand.

“The sharp increase in mortgage rates in 2022 and 2023 created an affordability shock: buyers were priced out, sales volumes dropped and sellers had to adjust expectations,” said Parcl Labs co-founder Jason Lewris (2).

“Historically, that combination of a credit or affordability shock, weaker demand and more inventory than the market can easily absorb is what tends to produce broad national price declines,” he added.

This isn’t the first sign that momentum in the U.S. housing market is shifting. Zillow recently reported that 53% of U.S. homes lost value over the past year — the highest share since 2012 — with an average drawdown of 9.7% (3).

While today’s conditions differ from the 2008 financial crisis, housing analyst Melody Wright warns the next downturn could still be severe.

“I think we're going to correct all the way to a point where household median income matches the median home price. And so that is going to be worse than 2008,” Wright said in a recent interview.

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When asked how far prices would need to fall to restore balance, Wright didn’t mince words: “It's going to be near your 50% — and much greater in certain areas.”

And Wright isn’t the only one sounding alarms. “Rich Dad, Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki has also warned that the “biggest crash in history” is beginning — adding that “residential real estate crashes” in this scenario as well.

If you share these concerns, now may be a good time to start preparing.

A safe haven for ‘bad times’

When storm clouds gather over the markets, gold often reclaims the spotlight.

Long seen as the ultimate safe haven, gold isn’t tied to any single country, currency or economy. It can’t be created at will by central banks like fiat money and in times of economic turmoil, market turbulence or geopolitical uncertainty, investors tend to pile in — driving up its value.

Over the past 12 months, gold prices have surged by more than 60%.

Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, has repeatedly emphasized gold’s importance in a resilient portfolio.

“People don't have, typically, an adequate amount of gold in their portfolio,” he told CNBC earlier this year. “When bad times come, gold is a very effective diversifier.”

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For those looking to capitalize on gold’s potential while also securing tax advantages, one option is to open a gold IRA with the help of Goldco.

Gold IRAs allow investors to hold physical gold or gold-related assets within a retirement account, which combines the tax advantages of an IRA with the protective benefits of investing in gold, making it an attractive option for those looking to potentially hedge their retirement funds against economic uncertainties. With a minimum purchase of $10,000, Goldco offers free shipping and access to a library of retirement resources. Plus, the company will match up to 10% of qualified purchases in free silver.

If you’re curious whether this is the right investment to diversify your portfolio, you can download your free gold and silver information guide today. Just remember that gold is often best used as one part of an otherwise well-diversified portfolio.

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Build a safety net

The 2008 housing crash didn’t just wipe out home equity — it rippled through the entire economy. Layoffs mounted, the unemployment rate spiked and families across the country found themselves suddenly vulnerable. If another major correction is coming, it’s worth strengthening your safety net before the ripple effects hit.

One of the most effective ways to do that is by having a cushion of readily accessible cash. If your income suddenly takes a hit, that buffer helps you stay afloat without taking on costly debt or being forced to sell investments at the worst possible time.

Personal finance expert Dave Ramsey suggests having an emergency fund that can cover three to six months’ worth of living expenses. But where you keep that cash also matters. High-yield savings accounts offer flexibility, but their rates can fall as interest-rate conditions shift — a trend already underway following recent Federal Reserve rate cuts.

That’s why some savers turn to certificates of deposit (CDs). With a CD, you lock in a guaranteed rate upfront, so your earnings stay steady for a set term, even if rates slip further. It’s predictable, reliable growth, which is something you don’t always get with traditional accounts.

Raisin makes that even easier by giving you access to high-yield and no-penalty CDs from top U.S. banks, all with no fees and minimums as low as $1.

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Prefer higher returns? Choose a high-yield CD for fixed, dependable earnings. Want flexibility? A no-penalty CD lets you access your money early without the usual withdrawal fees that come with a typical CD.

Whether you’re saving for something soon or building a cushion for the long haul, Raisin gives you a simple way to earn more without worrying that tomorrow’s rate changes will eat into your returns.

Get expert guidance

At the end of the day, everyone’s financial situation is different — from income levels and investment goals to debt obligations and risk tolerance. And when the economic outlook is uncertain, those differences matter even more. If you’re unsure where to start, now could be the right time to get in touch with a financial advisor.

With Vanguard, you can connect with a personal advisor who can help assess how you’re doing so far and make sure you've got the right portfolio to meet your goals on time.

Vanguard’s hybrid advisory system combines advice from professional advisers and automated portfolio management to make sure your investments are working to achieve your financial goals.

All you have to do is fill out a brief questionnaire about your financial goals and Vanguard’s advisers will help you set a tailored plan and even help you stick to it.

Once you’re set, you can sit back as Vanguard’s advisors manage your portfolio. Because they’re fiduciaries, they don’t earn commissions, so you can trust that the advice you’re getting is unbiased.

Article sources

We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our editorial ethics and guidelines.

Parcl Labs (1); CNBC (2); Zillow (3)

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Jing Pan Investment Reporter

Jing is an investment reporter for MoneyWise. He is an avid advocate of investing for passive income. Despite the ups and downs he’s been through with the markets, Jing believes that you can generate a steadily increasing income stream by investing in high quality companies.

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