Will interest rates go higher?
Since the U.S. Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in March 2022, many borrowers have experienced the burden of higher monthly payments. Should interest rates persist in rising, it poses significant challenges for a country grappling with nearly $34 trillion of debt.
When asked about his forecast for interest rates a year from now, Dalio responded, “I don't think there's going to be any important change in the Fed policy, other than maybe a slight easing as the economy slows down.”
And yet recent indicators still suggest an expanding economy.
Last month, the Commerce Department reported that, for Q3, real GDP in the U.S. increased at an annual rate of 4.9%. This statistic not only exceeded economists’ expectations, but also marked the biggest increase since Q4 of 2021.
That said, Dalio is concerned about the nation’s financial strength.
“Financially strong means: do you earn more than you spend? Do you have a good income statement as a country? And do we have a good balance sheet?” he remarked. “We are near that inflection point.”
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